US analysts expect Russia "instant offensive" !

"After the ambitious reforms to Anatoly Serdyukov, Russia is now enough soldiers to simultaneously support three major operations." This is the conclusion of an influential US think tank released a report on the extreme weakness of NATO in Europe and the enormous military power of Russia. Why are these reports, frightening Western citizens mythical Russian threat?

 American analytical center Atlantic Council ( «Atlantic Council"), associated with NATO, the State Department and US intelligence agencies, presented on Friday a report from which it follows that allegedly failed to protect eastern EU "in the face of the border in its current state of NATO forces more aggressively customized Russia. "
As reported by the BBC B, in the preparation of the report was attended by major military and political figures, among them - former NATO Secretary General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer, the British General Sir Richard Shirreff and the ex-Minister of Defense of Italy Giampaolo Di Paola.

"Russian threat" in the Baltic States.

 Note that even before the publication of his report quoted actively edition The Financial Times, relied on by the Baltic media, particularly Russian-language portal Delfi. After the publication became known - the authors claim that the Baltic region is the biggest threat. "Experts consider a scenario in which Russia captures the former Baltic Soviet republics," - said the BBC BBC. British media corporation with recalls his own controversial film, which deals with the scenario of World War III, which can supposedly start of the invasion of Russia in Latvia.

 

"As for the features, then, is not the most optimistic estimates, after 10 years of growth in military spending and ambitious, far-reaching reforms of the former Defense Minister Anatoly Serdyukov, Russia is now enough soldiers for military service (excluding mobilization reserve) to simultaneously support three major operations: attack on the Baltic countries, fighting in Poland and the blocking of government troops in the east of Ukraine ", - the report says.

In addition, it is noted that in the years 2013-15 Moscow actively increased its military power is in the western direction. "In January it became known that in the Western Military District, Russia will create three new divisions - in addition to the 1st Panzer Army, which is also formed in the same place", - quotes the report of the Bi-bi-si.

British Corporation refers to some research done on the request of the US Congress, according to which the Baltic states can be captured in less than three days - even in the case of the deployment of a NATO brigade. In addition, the American RAND Corporation experts came to the conclusion that the Russian armed forces in their current state supposedly able to capture Tallinn and Riga in less than 60 hours, causing "catastrophic defeat of the forces of the alliance."

 "Desperate weakness".

 Financial Times, in turn, draws attention to the alarmist tone - the report exaggerate theme unwillingness of NATO to answer the "aggressive ambitions of Russia."
Over the past three years the case is practically not moved forward army key European NATO member states are still experiencing "chronic underfunding" and substantial technical problems. "For example, in the German Bundeswehr from the 31 Tiger helicopters only 10 are operational. The same can be said of the Marder infantry fighting vehicles - from 406 operable only 280, "- said the Lithuanian portal Delfi's, citing the report.
"In this economic state of Germany, its geographical position and influence in European politics requires more participation and in the defense," - advised Berlin Atlantic Council of the American experts. The report censured the German and the whole European politicians who resist the allocation of additional budgetary resources for defense.
One of the sponsors, the British General Shirreff laments the fact that the army of Her Majesty fared no better than in the Bundeswehr. "The deployment of the brigade, not to mention the division, in a state of combat readiness is a complex task." So much so that, when last year's NATO exercises conducted in Europe, had to deliver tanks from Canada, "because the situation with spare parts and maintenance of British military equipment was simply desperate."
About a quarter of countries do not have their air force, 30% - of the fleet, or they are so tiny that their personnel do not exceed 600 persons; half of the countries the armed forces does not exceed 20 thousand people - the authors injected Atlantic Council report panic.
And this at a time when, according to the February report of the analytical center of London's European Leadership Network, Russia "does not intend to curtail its re ... in the vicinity of the borders of NATO."

 Without US "aid" can not do.

 Output speakers is simple: the North Atlantic Alliance should "make every effort to keep the deployment of military in the border states of the US and Western countries to keep Moscow from risky steps."
Atlantic Council recalls that US President Barack Obama announced plans to place NATO countries in Central and Eastern Europe, military equipment, enough for arming one armored brigade, which will be based in the region on a permanent basis.
The authors believe that the region does not need to create a temporary contingent and permanent. "In parallel with the Air Force's mission in the Baltic States Effective deterrence requires more than just a cameo educational and training activity. Rather, you need a permanent presence in order to exclude the possibility of an instant offensive Russia, capable of achieving the result before will involve NATO reserves "- the document says.

 The lobbying efforts.

 The expert of the Association of Military Political Scientists, associate professor of political science and sociology RG Alexander Plekhanov Perendzhiev sure that the task of such reports lies in the desire to influence public opinion.
In this case, it can pursue two objectives. First and foremost is to ensure the financing of NATO, so that it at least does not decrease, and in the best case - has increased.
"The report's authors appear as political lobbyists in matters of NATO existence, its financing. To date, there are serious concerns both faces the threat of reducing its role and even elimination in middle and senior commanders of the alliance, NATO. This is manifested indirectly. Recently it has come to establish a European army. This means that this army will be a competitor of NATO, to some extent, its gravedigger. EU Army gives Europe as a whole greater autonomy in ensuring greater security. Because at the moment for the EU, NATO - structure, hired by "- Perendzhiev said.
Constant focus on Eastern Europe, too, is not casual. This group of countries is constantly requested NATO assistance in the modernization of weapons. "To date, their membership in NATO is more is that they bear the costs of NATO itself, than an alliance for something to help them. There is always discern Eastern European lobby that NATO needs to strengthen its presence. No wonder Hungary recently expressed the need for the expansion of NATO ", - the expert believes.

"NATO is impressive missile and armored power of Russia".

 With regard to the main conclusion of the report that NATO failed to protect the eastern border of the EU, the Alexander Perendzhiev emphasizes that during the military reform former Warsaw Pact countries have been reduced in many respects, particularly armored divisions, air force. The military doctrine of the same in Hungary said that the troops should be able to repel the first strike potential enemy until the arrival of the main forces of NATO.
"Apparently, the analysts conclude that this first onslaught of the army can not stand. Moreover, even if they come to the main force, and they will undergo the defeat by Russia. First of all, NATO troops impressive Russian missile power and armored units, artillery rocket type "Grad" - said the expert.
And the development of our aerospace forces gives more weight to it offensive capabilities of Russia. This is all very impressive, and NATO officials, in a sense they have a fear that the strategy, which is produced after the 90's, is now shown to be ineffective, Perendzhiev said. "It turns out that NATO - is a huge powerful structure - can not cope, the language of Obama, with some kind of regional power. So in a sense the truth in this report exists, in fact here the question of conservation of the structure, so that people were on, received good pay "- he said.

 "Purely informational action".

 In turn, the first vice-president of the Academy of Geopolitical Problems Konstantin Sivkov report calls purely propagandistic step, since NATO 'vastly superior Russian in combat composition of the armed forces and the technical equipment. " "This is purely an information campaign, which aims to address two objectives: to clear additional funding for military needs of NATO countries, as well as guidance to the peoples of Western Europe that Russia is opposed to the war with which to prepare their armed forces," - said, Sivkov.
As for specific examples of the incapacity of NATO, for example, transfer from Canada to Europe for training armor, then Sivkov explains this is not a necessary measure due to lack of spare parts, and working off moving troops to the North American continent to the European theater of war. "The fact that the Americans are now being moved their aircraft in Europe, Turkey - it does not mean that these countries do not have enough spare parts, because that's where there are shock troops" - summed up Sivkov.