In response to the murder of Russian passenger A321 blow to Saudi Arabia !

 Putin ordered to stop flying passenger planes to Egypt. He did so on the recommendation of the director of the FSB. This means that the cause of the crash of the Russian airliner in the Sinai was a terrorist attack. But who is it organized? The first answer that comes to mind: LIH, in response to our bombing in Syria. But he is likely wrong. Russian citizens killed by other forces.

 Investigation into the October 31 tragedy is still ongoing, and the cause of the crash has not been formally named. But recent actions and our Nenashev allow authorities strongly suggest that 224 people flying from Sharm El Sheikh to Moscow, were killed as a result of a terrorist act.This is evidenced by Vladimir Putin's decision to suspend civil air traffic with Egypt. Can you imagine what consequences it entails?Firstly, the urgent need to return home from 45 th. To 70 th. Russians are now in Egypt. This is the most large-scale evacuation operation since the Great Patriotic War.Secondly, it is a terrible blow to the local tourism, because Egypt was among the most popular holiday destinations for Russians.Thirdly, it is even more terrible blow to the economy and budget of friendly Egypt.
 Putin understands all these consequences, but goes to them. So the reasons for his very significant. Let me remind you that the relevant recommendations of the Head of State gave no Divan experts from top bloggers and FSB director Alexander Bortnikov. And he certainly presented Putin something more substantial than "Vladimir Vladimirovich, I smell a heart!". At the KGB (current and former), the heart, of course, hot, but my head is cold. Therefore, the decision entailing serious consequences, they take only the facts with concrete evidence, confirmed from various sources.

 

 Putin ordered to cancel flights and emergency immediately. He did not give the airlines and tour operators time to "perform already paid tours and flights." Even those that were scheduled for the next day. Obviously, the danger is so serious that every night and every flight increases risk above the permissible level.Recall that earlier flights to Egypt, the United Kingdom ceased. And the islanders took this decision very diplomatically awkward moment when London was visiting Egyptian President Abdul-Fattah Khalil Al-Sisi. Apparently, the British, too, were at the disposal of serious data on the causes of the Russian plane crash. Incidentally, British intelligence is considered one of the best in the world. In addition, many countries in the Middle East, including Egypt, the same is the former colonies and mandated territories of the British Empire. And England is still there is a very good source of information.
 However, Russian intelligence, at least, no worse than the British. And judging by the actions of Moscow and London, there already know exactly what the A-321 with Russian tourists were killed by terrorists. But who these terrorists are and how they perpetrated their evil?WHO AND HOW !?The version of the shot from the ground of man-portable air defense systems (MANPADS) shallow right. The aircraft broke apart at an altitude of 9000 meters. For those who do not know, I explain. American MANPADS "Stinger» (FIM-92) could hit the target, flying at an altitude of no more than 3.5 km, the Russian "needle" - to achieve up to 4 km. And even the newest Russian MANPADS "Verba" can get only up to 4.5 km.And no other air defense systems militants LIH not and could not appear. Then, the plane was destroyed by a bomb on board upraised. This is indirectly evidenced by the way in which London and Moscow is now taken out of their fellow citizens from Egypt. Tourists are planted in the plane without luggage - their bags and suitcases sent to another board.It is already clear that a bomb on board the flight "Kogalymavia" brought not a terrorist bomber. Among the dead passengers and crew members on the role of suicide bomber nobody comes. The bomb was on the plane threw someone in the airport of Sharm el-Sheikh. He threw softly washed away.
 The first thing that comes to mind: it is evil ISIS revenge for the fact that theirthe bomb land  in Russian aviation. Note this version has already started to inflate the Western media and our liberal opposition. It seems that the "democratic journalists and"human rights"are at a training manual.But it is doubtful that such an attack perpetrated IGILovtsy. Not their style. Represents the "Islamic state" militants - even those scumbags. They like to take prisoners and hostages, and then cut off their heads in public, burning alive and pressure tanks. And they take the city by storm, capture territory and administered it lives under the laws of the most archaic version of Sharia. That is, forgive the comparison, "Islamic state" really acts as barbaric, but the state.
But in secret podkladyvaniem bombs IG has never been seen. This is a different style. So act "Al-Qaeda", which, although an ally of LIH, but not identical to it. But what about al-Qaeda in doubt. Classic terrorist attack by Islamic fanatics - it's a bomb on your body and scream "Allah Akbar!" Before the explosion. Or car stuffed with explosives, a suicide driver and again "Allah Akbar". Another indispensable condition - a public statement from the organizers after the terrorist attack, "Like, we did, and for such reason. Allah Akbar!".
And on October 31 it was a different scheme. Someone threw a bomb and quietly disappeared. And after the explosion - no statements and requirements. It's, you know, the handwriting is not religious fanatics, and the state security services.

Who benefits?

Most of Russia's military operation in Syria is now unhappy with Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Turkey. Almost inconceivable that the attack was organized by the Turks. Despite friction between Moscow and Ankara's foreign policy, the two countries are closely linked economically. In addition, the organizer of subversion understands that there is always the risk that will reveal all. And the murder of 240 people, in general, friendly country, is a 100-percent "casus belli» (Casus belli) - a pretext for war. I do not think that the Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan wants to be at war with Russia.
In addition, for a more or less decent countries, there are certain rules that will not violate anyone under any conditions. The massacre of the citizens of the country not at war with you - one of them. It is also totally unacceptable arrests and murders of foreign leaders. For example, the US government hates Vladimir Putin wants to remove him from the post of the President of Russia and spends a lot of this energy and money. But Putin arrives safely in the United States at the UN, without fear that there he would be arrested or shot. That can not be, because it can never be. As Americans know, and then for the life of their own leaders will not be charged.
Another thing - Saudi Arabia. Among the decent of it can be attributed to a stretch, but one of the "democracies" - absolutely nothing. This is Terry absolute monarchy, where everything is decided by the kings of the House of Saud. The country lives under the laws of Sharia did not, and on the principle that any monarch urine hit in the head.
All compounded by the fact that the current king Salman of Saudi Arabia is very old (he is 80), and, as they say, is not quite adequate. And his relatives are among a merciless hidden struggle for the throne. Who in this situation in Saudi Arabia takes certain decisions - it's hard to understand.
 This Saud - the main source of long-standing and continuous war of all against all in the Middle East. For this entrenched in Riyadh WC more and more irritated serious players in world politics. Even the United States, long-term and a long-time ally of Saudi Arabia, recently clearly begun to step back from their fosterling. Painfully unpleasant, unreliable, and it is indecent partners. Only lazy Americans do not poked his nose: "You say that the fight for democracy and human rights worldwide. And your closest friends Saud - hereditary tyrants, are his subjects of adultery beheaded and stoned for homosexuality. "
Recently Saud began for Washington even more uncomfortable. The Americans  befriends with Iran and has already signed an agreement on lifting sanctions against the country. It's scary not like Sunni-Saud, considers Iran its main Shia ideological, political and economic enemy.
There is a version that it was not the Americans last year convinced the Saudis to bring down oil prices to shit Russia. There are reasons to believe that oil prices dropped Saudis themselves, to destroy the shale oil production in the United States. And in this they succeeded. Today in America it has only 37% of working on shale wells, compared to the beginning of 2014. Companies that have invested in shale production, has suffered losses trillion (!) Dollars and it is expected that by the end of this year, banks will have to announce the cancellation of this trillion of bad debts. Experts predict that this will lead to the collapse of the US stock market, better than it was in 2008.
 As you can see, the US has less reason to continue to support the gum monarchy. If these bases are still generally stayed. It is believed that Washington will be only too pleased if Saudi Arabia will cease to exist in its current form. If someone Saud will go into oblivion - America will not stop it. As a maximum, express verbal protest and indignation.
And countries such as Iran, Iraq, Syria and Egypt on the same funeral of the Saudi dynasty tear three accordion, and their gravediggers are standing ovation.

IMPACT FROM AFAR.

And in this political scenario, Russian aircraft and 240 citizens of our country destroyed in a terrorist attack, a style which leads to the following state security services.
Putin and Shoigu Bortnikov now probably know more facts than was published in the media. Suppose it is probable variant: the leadership of our country has learned that the plane was destroyed by a Saudi secret service, or al-Qaeda on the orders of the same Saud.
 As stated above, the murder of 240 citizens of the country - a 100 percent casus belli. For such a self-respecting head of power must give the order for retribution. For example, the Crimea and Syria, we have seen that Putin lacks the will to make decisions on military operations. Recently, the Russian leader said that as a child Leningrad street taught him the principle: "If you see that the fight is inevitable - hit first!".Russia has now more than enough money to punish the lost coast of the Arabian sheikhs. Destroy the Saudi government and Moscow may even without the use of its nuclear arsenal.Embedding of Saudi Arabia may Caspian Flotilla and the Black Sea fleet of cruise missiles "Caliber" - the same ones that have already resulted in a stupor the world community. Even more heat will add strategic aviation. Tu-160, Tu-95 and Tu-22 carry a powerful rocket X-55 and X-555 with a range of 2000-2500 km.That is, our ships and aircraft can cover strategic targets in Saudi Arabia, long-range missiles themselves while being in complete safety, far beyond the limits of the Saudi aviation and air deThere is no doubt that Iran and Iraq, had previously committed to send Russian "calibers" over its territory from the Caspian Sea to Syria, to the great pleasure of a permit to fly missiles and bombers aimed at Saudi Arabia. More and airfields will offer to arrange, if needed.And then there is information that Russian ground-based missile complexes "Iskander" only nominally including systems "short-range". Officially declared a range Iskander missiles in the 500 km - it is a fiction, for the sake of formal compliance with the Convention on the Prohibition of the medium-range missiles. In reality, the Iskander can beat exactly "in the peg" at a distance of two thousand kilometers.But even without the "Iskander" the Russian fleet and long-range aviation will be able to spread a great distance in the wood key objects of military infrastructure in Saudi Arabia: radar, command and control and air defense launchers; airfields, headquarters, communications centers, warehouses, arms and seaports. At the same time, you can zhahnut and oil production facilities and transportation. The last point is a series of "business with pleasure" - the destruction of the Saudi oil industry would drive the world price of oil to the skies!fense.
 After the enemy's air defense system will be shot from a distance, in the case will be able to start and our tactical aviation. Plain-hand in Syria pilots bombers Su-34, Su-24 and Su-25 with great pleasure that apply their skills at a much more "bold" targets in Saudi Arabia. For Saudi bombing planes can fly not only from bases in the Syrian Latakia, but also with the airports in Iran. Iraq probably will be too happy to take our bombers, but in this country too dangerous to deploy large airbase. But Iran in this regard - is ideal.
Most likely, a blow to Russia Saud cause unexpected that the enemy did not have time to prepare. First, embed, and then Putin will make a statement.
The military operation against Saudi Arabia can be very successful also because the Saudis now conduct another war - in Yemen. And there are things they are not the most brilliant way. And if at that moment someone banging them on the head with an ax, the Arabian monarchy could quickly crumble to dust.

All of the above - this is my personal opinion, and therefore is not necessarily true. But you can bet that in the near future we will witness the outstanding events. Those who make history.

Alexander Bortnikov SOURCE: http://vg-news.ru/n/117778