Ultimatum by Merkel !

The intrigue in connection with the visit to Moscow by German Chancellor Angela Merkel persisted long enough. Analysts wondered whether brought Mrs. Federal Chancellor of the new proposals of any compromise, any requirements will be announced the unconditional surrender of Russia. Many Russian journalists with absolutely groundless optimism began to speak about warming in relations between the two countries, but upon closer inspection, it looks completely different.

"The criminal annexation of the Crimea ... On the side of the separatists allowed a huge number of violations ..." - these are just a few excerpts from statements by Angela Merkel in Moscow. In fact, one day Frau talked a little to quote pad, and all about the same way. Actually, it is an insult not even Putin personally, and all Russians supporting the Crimea and the Donbass. In other words, the chancellor came to someone's house to humiliate the home and dictate its will. Moreover, if such expressions were used in public and in the face, it is difficult to imagine how sharp the tone on the sidelines.

I especially want to emphasize the word "crime", which implies a kind of punishment for the offense committed. Continuing the logic, you can assume that the sanctions against the currents of Frau Merkel, are not sufficient punishment, and still follow the true punishment. What will this car, we can only speculate. For example, in a recent draft resolution of the European Parliament as a militarized enclave along with the Crimea is mentioned Kaliningrad. This is a direct warning bell, along with passing in the Baltic States and Scandinavia NATO military exercises.

 Almost simultaneously, in Kiev, once again raised the subject of reparations from Russia as much as $ 350 billion. US dollars. And that's just on the war in Donbas, Crimea is out of the equation. On it will be billed a separate account.
It is obvious that the Ukrainian crisis has come a standstill. The endless and largely unsuccessful war and the collapse of the economy theoretically could be the reason for people's discontent and the fall of the Kiev regime, but it is obvious that this will not happen for two reasons. Firstly, still strong anti-Russian propaganda that all the troubles of Ukrainian citizens on the debit eastern neighbor. And the bulk of the population that believes or afraid not to believe, because he knows that the repressive apparatus instantly record the disaffected in the "domestic separatists" with all its consequences. Secondly, the entire West collectively try to prevent the collapse of Ukraine, simultaneously pushing for such an outcome is Russia. Population Square might peter out as much as necessary, but the army will be a priority.
The US and EU are not going to go to the amicable agreement with Russia. If whiny tone and Moscow's actions clearly pointed to the possibility of a compromise deal on the conditions, Merkel once again demonstrated the unity of the West's position - there will be only an unconditional surrender and nothing else.

 Of course, in the Donbas Ukrainian blitzkrieg yet all the terms. Industry of Ukraine for 20 years has degraded so much that can not guarantee the issue of armored vehicles in the quantities required, even for a war with the DNI / LC, not to mention the confrontation with Russia. Supplies of military equipment, even in large quantities will remove only one of the problems. The weapon is capable of much, only when it is in the hands of motivated professionals. If it gets to unmotivated or motivated professionals to lay people - nothing good will come of this venture.
But, in spite of everything, the war will inevitably continue until the end of 2015. The Obama Administration is committed as soon as possible to return the breakaway regions in the Square, revealing punishing Russia, and the US presidential election is getting closer, and the Democrats is nothing to show to the public.

 Of course, in the Donbas Ukrainian blitzkrieg yet all the terms. Industry of Ukraine for 20 years has degraded so much that can not guarantee the issue of armored vehicles in the quantities required, even for a war with the DNI / LC, not to mention the confrontation with Russia. Supplies of military equipment, even in large quantities will remove only one of the problems. The weapon is capable of much, only when it is in the hands of motivated professionals. If it gets to unmotivated or motivated professionals to lay people - nothing good will come of this venture.
But, in spite of everything, the war will inevitably continue until the end of 2015. The Obama Administration is committed as soon as possible to return the breakaway regions in the Square, revealing punishing Russia, and the US presidential election is getting closer, and the Democrats is nothing to show to the public.

 The scenario with the death of New Russia still remains real, especially if emerging trends to enhance the APU, pumped their technology and the accelerated training of the western-style preserved. Time is now playing against Russia and the People's Republic in which, by the way there has been an outflow of the most motivated and experienced fighters who do not agree with the current policy of the authorities of Donetsk and Lugansk. Decreased and the flow of private humanitarian aid from Russia. And then the same reasons: in addition to the general deterioration of the economic situation of Russians effect that after the departure of Strelkova new leadership, to put it mildly, was not able to earn the trust enjoyed some former team. Affected and overlapping boundaries of the Russian side under the guise of combating smuggling.
Based on the above, we can assume a scenario in which the militia and the "holidaymakers" will be defeated, and the territories of the former DNI and LC will be large-scale repression than the art of the German Nazis. The collapse of Donbass is an acute political crisis in Russia, even if outwardly everything is quiet. The position of Putin will become very shaky and possible coup, during which lost credibility national leader deposed and condemned by article 353 of the Criminal Code.

 Background to this end have already been observed. The Russians are beginning to realize that endless talk about Ukraine in television talk shows they distract from domestic problems, which they clearly felt by reducing purchasing power. In addition, the endless raising of Ukrainian subjects without real steps by Moscow already beginning to bore the audience. TIRED so that viewers begin to divide into two categories. The first says, "If there is so bad, why Russia does not interfere? Is that cheating? "And join the ranks of the readers of the bloggers, who has long been openly accused the president and his entourage of treason. The latter are completely apolitical, although in words they support the current government.
The show ended, and the country needs real action. And with regard to Ukraine and on the economy. In the meantime, instead of these very real cases population shoved another media-profanity or offer proud of the achievements of their ancestors. The past, of course we should not forget, moreover, is glorious, as in Russia. But apart from the great history to be a match for that bygone achievements and present. As the sages say: one who lives just past, no future.




 
Patriotic pump, which is now engaged in the federal channels, should lead to a resounding victory, otherwise its effect will inevitably turn against the ruling class - will take care of paid for provocateurs. Something similar has happened during the Russian-Japanese War and World War II.
Also, successful negotiations with the West is impossible from the position of weakness. Now they perceive Russia as a loser, not only in the "cold war", but in the current confrontation over Ukraine. Otherwise, it could not be, considering how inconsistent and humiliating position was taken after a triumphant Moscow in March 2014. Strictly speaking, the modern Kremlin dreamers repeat dubious "feat" Chamberlain, who genuinely thought that the pacification of the aggressor would bring peace, but in fact only brought war.
The only way to change the situation - to achieve victory. Victory absolute and unconditional. And the price here does not really matter, because the defeat has always paid the price of a hundred times more than the victory. And it will pay is the Russian people, not the oligarchs.

 Victory in Ukraine radically it alters the balance of power, strengthen the position of power within Russia and in the international arena give significant bargaining chip. Not to mention such things as the salvation of the Donbass and the Crimea with the lifting of the blockade.
The second important trend - is to strengthen the strategic partnership with China. Yes, Celestial dubious ally, but no one better we do not have. Parallel need to chop off economic and political ties with the European Union and the United States - except vital.
Q: Will the Russian leadership courage at such a radical but necessary steps, or it will persist in "peacekeeping" to last? Whatever commentators tried with questionable motives to present this fact, but is pushed back in the Donbass "United Ukraine" (whether by force or "world"), even an autonomy, while maintaining the current regime in Kiev will designate an unambiguous defeat of Moscow.
 Author Igor Kabardin